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Moody chess set with dramatic lighting, highlighting strategic gameplay focus.

Uncertainty Game

Designing wargames for what the models miss.

Recent Writing

wargame designred-teamingdecision-making

The Broken Mirror: Designing Wargames That Surface Players' Flawed Self-Models

How to design wargames that expose the gap between how players think they make decisions and how they actually behave under pressure.

· 4 min read

The Consensus Map: Designing Wargames That Expose What Players Agree On Without Knowing It

The Understudy Scenario: Designing Wargames That Stress-Test Decision-Making When the Second-Tier Takes Over

The Redundant Confirm: Designing Wargames That Expose False Consensus Among Players

The Invisible Faction: Designing Wargames That Account for Actors Who Refuse to Play

The Corrupted Source: Designing Wargames That Spread Bad Intelligence Upstream
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About

Uncertainty Game explores the design of wargames and simulations, with a focus on surfacing black swan events and anomalous phenomena that standard models miss. New writing published regularly.