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Uncertainty Game

Designing wargames for what the models miss.

Recent Writing

wargame designdecision-makingred-teaming

The Preference Reversal: Designing Wargames That Expose When Players Change Their Minds Under Pressure

How to design wargames that detect when players abandon stated preferences mid-scenario, and what that shift reveals about real decision-making under stress.

· 5 min read

The Normalization Trap: Designing Wargames That Detect When Players Stop Seeing Warning Signs

The Vanishing Mandate: Designing Wargames That Expose When Player Authority Evaporates Mid-Crisis

The Threshold Broker: Designing Wargames That Reveal Who Actually Controls Escalation

The Parallel Track: Designing Wargames That Run a Shadow Game the Players Don't Know About

The Broken Mirror: Designing Wargames That Surface Players' Flawed Self-Models
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About

Uncertainty Game explores the design of wargames and simulations, with a focus on surfacing black swan events and anomalous phenomena that standard models miss. New writing published regularly.